TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between the Gunma Crane Thunders and Altiri Chiba in Japan's B League. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for October 26, 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine the final settlement.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Japan B League basketball game between Gunma Crane Thunders and Altiri Chiba, scheduled for October 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about key factors influencing the game’s outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from expert opinion, or when new information emerges that hasn’t been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a particular result, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gunma Crane Thunders versus Altiri Chiba game as reported by the Japanese B.League. The market will determine which team won the game, and the corresponding contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in prior games, shifts in team momentum, or even weather conditions (if the game is outdoors) could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.