TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Guimaraes and Madeira. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether Guimaraes, Madeira, or a tied outcome will prevail.
The event resolves based on the result of the Guimaraes vs Madeira professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Guimaraes secures a win, the 'Guimaraes' market resolves to Yes. If Madeira wins, the 'Madeira' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regulation time result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently, or that an opportunity for arbitrage exists. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guimaraes vs Madeira match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could affect the match.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Major upsets in other related matches, or even significant news about the teams’ coaching strategies, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by traders’ individual assessments of the Guimaraes vs Madeira match.