TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Guimaraes vs Madeira
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What is the result of Guimaraes vs Madeira?

Volume:
$150,421

Guimaraes

 - Kalshi

Guimaraes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 5:42 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guimaraes

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$74,250
N/A
N/A
$35,028
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Madeira

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,112
N/A
N/A
$43,528
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,059
N/A
N/A
$17,448
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Guimaraes and Madeira. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether Guimaraes, Madeira, or a tied outcome will prevail.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Guimaraes vs Madeira professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Guimaraes secures a win, the 'Guimaraes' market resolves to Yes. If Madeira wins, the 'Madeira' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regulation time result.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Guimaraes vs Madeira match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $150,421. The 24-hour volume is $147,530, providing insight into recent market activity. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the outcome of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently, or that an opportunity for arbitrage exists. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guimaraes vs Madeira match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could affect the match.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Major upsets in other related matches, or even significant news about the teams’ coaching strategies, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by traders’ individual assessments of the Guimaraes vs Madeira match.