TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
In a soccer tie between two teams, the market identifies the team that moves forward in the competition. Advancement past the opponent in the tie, including any extra time or penalties, determines the resolution.
If Guijuelo advance past Gijon in the Guijuelo vs Gijon soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gijon advance past Guijuelo in the Guijuelo vs Gijon soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market price in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Guijuelo vs Gijon match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Guijuelo vs Gijon match, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, where a price of 50 represents a 50% probability, and prices above or below 50 indicate higher or lower perceived probabilities, respectively.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guijuelo vs Gijon match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Guijuelo, a win for Gijon, or potentially a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders will then be paid out or have their positions adjusted based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Guijuelo or Gijon could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news coverage, can influence trader behavior and lead to price adjustments in this market before Oct 29, 2026.