TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Guidonia Montecelio and Pineto. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Guidonia Montecelio vs Pineto professional Serie C soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regular time; a separate market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty kicks do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time counts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and insight. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders engage, the prices converge towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of each result in the Guidonia Montecelio vs Pineto match, making it a dynamic reflection of informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guidonia Montecelio vs Pineto match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Additionally, shifts in public opinion, as reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, can also drive price fluctuations. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess their probabilities based on the evolving landscape. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.