TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergio Castro and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Castro' if Sergio Castro advances against Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Sergio Castro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergio Castro and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Castro' if Sergio Castro advances against Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Sergio Castro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the match. It’s important to remember that prediction markets aim to forecast the actual result, while sportsbooks focus on profitability, leading to potential discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Sergio Castro and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other related matches, or even significant public discussion about the players’ form, could also lead to price movements. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both Castro and Rodriguez will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could impact this market before Nov 1, 2026.