TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Lorenzo Claverie in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Lorenzo Claverie. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Claverie' if Lorenzo Claverie advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Lorenzo Claverie in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Lorenzo Claverie. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Claverie' if Lorenzo Claverie advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand – if more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nijboer vs Claverie match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators or expert predictions could also impact the market, as traders incorporate new information into their assessments. Furthermore, large trading volume from influential participants could create momentum and drive price movements, especially as the match date approaches and more information becomes available.