TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 2:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. If there is a significant difference between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other’s actions, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting where the odds are set in advance and do not change based on subsequent trading activity.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pacheco vs Dellien match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any updates or changes related to the event.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other related matches or significant changes in player form could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring sports news and analysis, as well as observing trading activity on Polymarket, can provide valuable insights into potential market movements before Nov 5, 2026.