TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jarry and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jarry' if Nicolas Jarry advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Nicolas Jarry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jarry and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jarry' if Nicolas Jarry advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Nicolas Jarry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time trading activity and the wisdom of the crowd.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Jarry vs Dellien match. The current top outcome, as determined by trader activity, is the completion of the match with Nicolas Jarry as the winner.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jarry vs Dellien match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also lead to adjustments. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could quickly move the market, reflecting new information or a change in overall expectations regarding the Jarry vs Dellien match.