TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Federico Zeballos in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Federico Zeballos. This market will resolve to 'Federico Zeballos' if Federico Zeballos advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Federico Zeballos in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Federico Zeballos. This market will resolve to 'Federico Zeballos' if Federico Zeballos advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to buy or sell based on those beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likely outcome. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus professional analysis of the Tobon vs Zeballos match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the event’s likelihood. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the Tobon vs Zeballos match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tobon vs Zeballos match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could trigger trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Tobon vs Zeballos match is crucial for understanding potential shifts in market sentiment.