TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateo Del Pino and Wilson Leite in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Del Pino' if Mateo Del Pino advances against Wilson Leite. This market will resolve to 'Wilson Leite' if Wilson Leite advances against Mateo Del Pino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateo Del Pino and Wilson Leite in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Del Pino' if Mateo Del Pino advances against Wilson Leite. This market will resolve to 'Wilson Leite' if Wilson Leite advances against Mateo Del Pino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating new information as it becomes available, which can lead to different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and their assessment of the available information regarding the Del Pino vs Leite match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guayaquil match between Mateo Del Pino and Wilson Leite, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or a controversial ruling, could also cause the market to react. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates on both players will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market before Nov 1, 2026.