TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Mateo Del Pino in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Mateo Del Pino. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Del Pino' if Mateo Del Pino advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Mateo Del Pino in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Mateo Del Pino. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Del Pino' if Mateo Del Pino advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of bettors participating in the prediction market. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome, or that new information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines yet.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a specific result in the Ratti vs Del Pino match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ratti vs Del Pino match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Nov 2, 2026.