TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Alessandro Rubini in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Alessandro Rubini. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Rubini' if Alessandro Rubini advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Alessandro Rubini in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Alessandro Rubini. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Rubini' if Alessandro Rubini advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those found here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of a particular result. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when a large and informed group participates.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ratti vs Rubini match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources, might also lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is likely to evolve as the event approaches.