TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to adjustments based on new information or changing sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential injuries, or even external factors influencing the match. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially for events with significant public interest.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and represents the aggregated view of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Varillas vs Pacheco match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event conclusion. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from respected tennis commentators could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public perception of their form, could also play a role. Significant volume spikes, driven by informed traders or new information, are often a leading indicator of potential price movements in this market.