TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jose Pereira and Alex Hernandez in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jose Pereira' if Jose Pereira advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Jose Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jose Pereira and Alex Hernandez in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jose Pereira' if Jose Pereira advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Jose Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant difference emerges between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and can change rapidly as new information becomes available or as more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Pereira vs Hernandez fight. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the participants. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; no central authority sets the price.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the Pereira vs Hernandez fight.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to significant price fluctuations before Nov 1, 2026.