TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 3:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those found at major sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Aguilar vs Dellien match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Aguilar vs Dellien match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the market as a whole believes is the likelihood of a particular result, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional betting options.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Aguilar vs Dellien match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is considered correct. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to November 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also influence sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to price movements in this market.