TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Bueno and Alex Barrena in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Gonzalo Bueno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Bueno and Alex Barrena in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Gonzalo Bueno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced an event, the prediction market may show a different probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome drives up its price, indicating a greater perceived chance of success. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bueno vs Barrena match as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against sources deemed reliable, and the winning outcome will be determined accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions could also cause shifts in the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches, or changes in betting patterns on Polymarket, could also move this market before Nov 2, 2026.