TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian Match O/U 21.5
- Polymarket
Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian Match O/U 21.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 27, 2026
Closed: Oct 27, 7:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Roncadelli and Valerio Aboian in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Franco Roncadelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Roncadelli and Valerio Aboian in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Franco Roncadelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It’s worthwhile to compare the two to gain a broader understanding of the expected result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Roncadelli vs Aboian match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roncadelli vs Aboian match, as reported by an authoritative source. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments related to either Franco Roncadelli or Valerio Aboian could significantly shift market sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts, updated rankings, and even social media buzz surrounding the match could also play a role. Unexpected upsets in other related matches or broader trends in the sport could also contribute to price movements in this market.