TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Alex Hernandez in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Alex Hernandez in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of the participants. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Misolic vs Hernandez match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.