TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 4:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bagnis/Gomez and Magadan/Zeballos in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bagnis/Gomez' if the team of Bagnis/Gomez advances against Magadan/Zeballos. This market will resolve to 'Magadan/Zeballos' if the team of Magadan/Zeballos advances against Bagnis/Gomez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bagnis/Gomez and Magadan/Zeballos in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bagnis/Gomez' if the team of Bagnis/Gomez advances against Magadan/Zeballos. This market will resolve to 'Magadan/Zeballos' if the team of Magadan/Zeballos advances against Bagnis/Gomez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and profit margins into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the players' form and potential performance in the Guayaquil doubles match. It's common to see prediction markets offer a different perspective than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Guayaquil doubles match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guayaquil doubles match between Bagnis/Gomez and Magadan/Zeballos. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will dictate the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the winning shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could shift traders’ perceptions. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also lead to price movements. Strong performance by either team in other matches leading up to this event, or even social media sentiment surrounding their chances, might also impact the volume and pricing within this market.