TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Elahi Galan and Boris Arias in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Elahi Galan' if Daniel Elahi Galan advances against Boris Arias. This market will resolve to 'Boris Arias' if Boris Arias advances against Daniel Elahi Galan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Elahi Galan and Boris Arias in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Elahi Galan' if Daniel Elahi Galan advances against Boris Arias. This market will resolve to 'Boris Arias' if Boris Arias advances against Daniel Elahi Galan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to observe that prediction markets are more accurate than polls or initial sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Galan vs Arias match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor the event's progress leading up to Nov 1, 2026 to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the result.
Several signals or events could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also impact the market. Unexpected upsets in related tournaments or shifts in public opinion regarding the players’ form could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring tennis news and following expert opinions will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market prior to Nov 1, 2026.