TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Guayaquil City FC vs. Libertad Loja
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Guayaquil City FC vs. Libertad Loja?

Volume:
$249,537

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,372
N/A
N/A
$43,907
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Guayaquil City FC vs. Libertad Loja)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guayaquil City

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,405
N/A
N/A
$63,288
Settled
No
polymarket

Guayaquil City FC

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Libertad Loja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,290
N/A
N/A
$36,966
Settled
No
polymarket

Libertad Loja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a LigaPro Primera A soccer match between Guayaquil City FC and Libertad Loja, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw, resolving based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, potentially leading to different resolutions in cases of game cancellation or abandonment.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's rules around game abandonment and cancellation could lead to different outcomes than Kalshi. Factor in the possibility of these events when making trading decisions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, doesn't start by November 3, 2026, or is abandoned with no official result, the market resolves to 'No'. Abandoned games are resolved based on official rulings or the result as played.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Guayaquil City or Libertad Loja wins, or if the game is a tie. No specific rules are provided for game cancellation or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between Guayaquil City FC and Libertad Loja, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Guayaquil City wins the Guayaquil City vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Libertad Loja wins the Guayaquil City vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Guayaquil City vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. The spread between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate informational advantages or biases in either venue.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Guayaquil City vs. Libertad match. Trading volume can also differ significantly between the two, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. These factors combine to create distinct market dynamics on each venue.