TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived using different methodologies and incentives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Zarate vs Dellien match, influenced by factors like player form, recent results, and any breaking news.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Zarate vs Dellien match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket. Keep an eye on the market page for updates as the event approaches and the resolution process begins.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or significant shifts in player form could all cause the market to react. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, as the market adjusts to new information and positions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.