TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Alan Magadan in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Alan Magadan. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Alan Magadan in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Alan Magadan. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, arbitrage opportunities may arise for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Zarate vs Magadan match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Carlos Maria Zarate vs Alan Magadan boxing match, as declared by the relevant boxing commission or governing body. The market will determine which boxer is officially declared the winner of the bout. Any protests or appeals will be considered only if they result in a change to the officially recorded outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. News regarding the fighters’ training status, potential injuries, or changes in their weight class could all impact trader sentiment. Public analysis from boxing experts, pre-match interviews, and any reported changes in betting odds from sportsbooks could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s venue or scheduling could also introduce volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each boxer’s chances of winning could move the market.