TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Coria in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Federico Coria. This market will resolve to 'Federico Coria' if Federico Coria advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Coria in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Federico Coria. This market will resolve to 'Federico Coria' if Federico Coria advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by biases or marketing considerations. This market, driven by user trading on Polymarket, aggregates diverse opinions and can quickly adjust to new information or changing sentiment. Comparing the odds can reveal discrepancies and potentially identify value opportunities, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's likely result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Carabelli vs Coria match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also affect sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors or shifts in public opinion could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts for this market.