TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Munk Mesa and Tristan McCormick in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Munk Mesa' if Bernardo Munk Mesa advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Bernardo Munk Mesa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Munk Mesa and Tristan McCormick in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Munk Mesa' if Bernardo Munk Mesa advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Bernardo Munk Mesa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Bernardo Munk Mesa and Tristan McCormick, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates related to the players involved is crucial for understanding potential market movements before Nov 1, 2026.