TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:05 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Guatemala and Suriname, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guatemala" if Guatemala score more goals than Suriname in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Guatemala and Suriname score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Suriname" if Suriname score more goals than Guatemala in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Guatemala and Suriname, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guatemala" if Guatemala score more goals than Suriname in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Guatemala and Suriname score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Suriname" if Suriname score more goals than Guatemala in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are incorrect, they can trade against that view, driving the price on Polymarket closer to what the crowd believes is the true probability. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still occur based on differing information or risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome for the Guatemala vs. Suriname second half. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform, and changes in volume can signal shifts in expectations. This differs from traditional betting where odds are set by a bookmaker.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Guatemala vs. Suriname second half is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the result, ensuring an accurate and impartial resolution. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first half of the match would likely have a significant impact, as would any in-game events like red cards or penalties. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or analysis, could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve before Oct 6, 2026.