TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:05 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and their own risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guatemala vs. Suriname match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to verify the outcome and ensure a fair resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or significant shifts in public opinion could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's probability assessment.