TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:06 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Guatemala and Suriname, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guatemala" if Guatemala are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Suriname" if Suriname are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Guatemala and Suriname, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guatemala" if Guatemala are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Suriname" if Suriname are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one team in this market, the odds will shift to reflect that sentiment, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants contributing to the prediction.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Guatemala or Suriname will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, while the price of the other outcome decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly adjusting based on the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Guatemala vs. Suriname match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports authority, will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome of this market. Any disputes will be resolved based on the official record of the event.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about team formations or tactical changes might also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment or expert analysis favoring one team over the other could lead to increased trading volume and a corresponding change in the odds for this market.