TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Max Purcell in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Max Purcell. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Yuta Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Max Purcell in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Max Purcell. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Yuta Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shimizu vs Purcell match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the market's implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shimizu vs Purcell match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result, based on the actual event completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about either Yuta Shimizu or Max Purcell’s form, or any controversies surrounding the match, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals allows traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly in this market.