TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saba Purtseladze and Khumoyun Sultanov in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saba Purtseladze' if Saba Purtseladze advances against Khumoyun Sultanov. This market will resolve to 'Khumoyun Sultanov' if Khumoyun Sultanov advances against Saba Purtseladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saba Purtseladze and Khumoyun Sultanov in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saba Purtseladze' if Saba Purtseladze advances against Khumoyun Sultanov. This market will resolve to 'Khumoyun Sultanov' if Khumoyun Sultanov advances against Saba Purtseladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by traders. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. This market may offer a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Purtseladze vs Sultanov match compared to what is currently offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights not captured by conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Purtseladze vs Sultanov match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more the price will reflect the perceived likelihood of each fighter winning, as traders adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated view of market expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou boxing match between Saba Purtseladze and Khumoyun Sultanov. The platform will verify the winner through established sports news outlets and official boxing records. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training status, potential injuries, or changes in their fight preparation could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from either fighter or their trainers, as well as analysis from boxing experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the Guangzhou match, such as changes to the fight card or venue, could also create volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market.