TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Mananchaya Sawangkaew will be completed in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Guangzhou Open: Completed Match: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew”, with resolution based on scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match progress, as this market will resolve based on whether the match is completed by the resolution date estimate of November 3, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Mananchaya Sawangkaew. This market will resolve to 'Mananchaya Sawangkaew' if Mananchaya Sawangkaew advances against Xinran Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like biases or marketing strategies into their pricing, whereas this market relies on the collective judgment of traders. If sportsbook odds significantly deviate from those seen here, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Guangzhou Open match. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to varying information and analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a particular player winning the Guangzhou Open match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Open match between Xinran Sun and Mananchaya Sawangkaew, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome share.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Guangzhou Open match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament involving either player could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, might also cause the market to move as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.