TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Harriet Dart will win against Xinran Sun by at least two games in their upcoming match at the Guangzhou Open. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Harriet Dart (-1.5) winning against Xinran Sun (+1.5). The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the final score reported there, with resolution expected by November 7, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Xinran Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, particularly in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Guangzhou Open match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Xinran Sun will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase. Conversely, increased support for Harriet Dart will drive up the price of her shares.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Open match between Xinran Sun and Harriet Dart, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on available evidence and established tournament rules to ensure a fair and accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Xinran Sun or Harriet Dart could also impact the odds. Furthermore, public statements from coaches or analysts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their predictions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the dynamic pricing of this market.