TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Claire Liu in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Xinran Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Claire Liu in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Xinran Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust based on new information and changing sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches, revealing differing opinions on the likely winner.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Open match between Xinran Sun and Claire Liu, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. The final outcome will then be used to settle all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Xinran Sun or Claire Liu, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also shift expectations. Furthermore, early match results from other players in the tournament, or even general shifts in public opinion, could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches could also influence how traders view the overall competitive landscape and affect the price of shares in this market.