TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Xiaodi You in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Xiaodi You. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Xiaodi You in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Xiaodi You. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and may offer different value depending on individual risk tolerance and betting preferences. It’s always wise to compare both before making a decision.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and the volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible result. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Open qualification match between Dayana Yastremska and Xiaodi You. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of the players’ chances. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, driven by social media or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026.