TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of how each venue operates. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment regarding the Badosa vs Dart match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Badosa vs Dart match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Badosa vs Dart match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares in the winning outcome will pay out according to the final market price at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Paula Badosa or Harriet Dart, would likely cause significant movement. Updates on playing conditions, like weather forecasts impacting the court surface, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, early performance in the tournament for either player, or even broader narratives surrounding their form, could impact trader sentiment and therefore the price of shares in this market.