TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Venus Williams in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Venus Williams. This market will resolve to 'Venus Williams' if Venus Williams advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Venus Williams in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Venus Williams. This market will resolve to 'Venus Williams' if Venus Williams advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price isn't determined by a central authority but emerges from the interactions of buyers and sellers, making it a decentralized and dynamic indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Open match between Lilli Tagger and Venus Williams, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, fitness, or potential injury concerns could significantly shift the odds. Updates on playing conditions, such as weather forecasts or court surface changes, might also affect perceptions of each player's chances. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could alter overall tournament dynamics and impact this market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements.