TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Han Shi in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Han Shi in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and profit margins, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It's common to see this market react more quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment than traditional odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Guangzhou Open match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by tournament organizers. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts regarding player strategies, could also lead to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ chances of winning will likely impact the dynamics of this market.