TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Lanlana Tararudee in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Lanlana Tararudee. This market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Katerina Siniakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Lanlana Tararudee in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Lanlana Tararudee. This market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Katerina Siniakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a large number of traders believe a player has a higher chance of winning than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a diverse range of opinions influencing the market. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when incorporating unique data or anticipating unexpected events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Siniakova vs Tararudee match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Siniakova vs Tararudee match as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and payouts distributed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could also impact confidence in either player’s chances. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders, or even large-scale media coverage focusing on a particular player's form, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring tennis news and social media will be key.