TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 7:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Tatiana Prozorova in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Tatiana Prozorova. This market will resolve to 'Tatiana Prozorova' if Tatiana Prozorova advances against Harriet Dart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Tatiana Prozorova in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Tatiana Prozorova. This market will resolve to 'Tatiana Prozorova' if Tatiana Prozorova advances against Harriet Dart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information asymmetry exists or when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, influenced by new information and evolving perspectives on the Dart vs Prozorova match. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Open match between Harriet Dart and Tatiana Prozorova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses, as this will ultimately determine the final outcome and the payout of shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift expectations. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament for either player could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could sway market participants, causing fluctuations in the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.