TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Han Shi and Dayana Yastremska in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Dayana Yastremska. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Han Shi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Han Shi and Dayana Yastremska in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Dayana Yastremska. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Han Shi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into market sentiment and potential value bets, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived chance of success, while increased selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska match as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also lead to reassessments of player capabilities. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Nov 4, 2026.