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419,492
Markets across
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Closed: Oct 27, 5:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Dayana Yastremska will advance against Katie Volynets in their Guangzhou Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Guangzhou Open: Completed Match: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets.” Resolution will be determined by the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be settled based on completion of the match scheduled for October 26, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Katie Volynets in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yastremska vs Volynets match as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring either player could also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price movements, reflecting shifts in conviction among market participants. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential trading opportunities.