TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Antonia Ruzic will advance against Claire Liu in their Guangzhou Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Guangzhou Open: Completed Match: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the completion of the fixture on or before the resolution date of November 3, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Antonia Ruzic and Claire Liu in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antonia Ruzic' if Antonia Ruzic advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Antonia Ruzic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to a variety of factors, including differing opinions on the players' form, injuries, or even the influence of public sentiment. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see this market reflect probabilities that diverge from initial sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Guangzhou Open match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the changing collective assessment. The market's price movements are a direct result of supply and demand for these shares, driven by individual traders' predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Guangzhou Open match between Antonia Ruzic and Claire Liu is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official tournament results as published by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, reflecting the actual result of the tennis match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis of the players' recent performance, could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could temporarily impact the odds, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome in the Guangzhou Open match.