TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Millen Hurrion and Koki Matsuda in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Millen Hurrion' if Millen Hurrion advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Millen Hurrion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Millen Hurrion and Koki Matsuda in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Millen Hurrion' if Millen Hurrion advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Millen Hurrion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and insight. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If significant differences emerge, opportunities for arbitrage may exist, where traders can profit by exploiting the price differences between the two venues. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Hurrion vs Matsuda match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation of shares in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurrion vs Matsuda match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, betting previews, and even social media discussions can also influence the market. Unexpected weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, could also play a role. As the event approaches, any late-breaking information will likely cause increased trading volume and price volatility, reflecting the evolving perceptions of the potential outcomes of the Hurrion vs Matsuda match.