TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:48 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:35AM ET: If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Golden Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:35AM ET: If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Golden Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook lines as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may not fully incorporate all relevant factors. This market, in contrast, allows traders to weigh various signals and adjust probabilities continuously. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, prediction markets directly aggregate diverse perspectives, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts. It’s common to see differences emerge as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Loong Lions versus Zhejiang Golden Bulls game, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team is declared the winner, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even media coverage highlighting a team's momentum, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information entering the market, prompting others to adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 25, 2026.