TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between the Guangzhou Loong Lions and the Tianjin Pioneers in China's Basketball Association. The result depends solely on which team wins the match when it is officially played. Any postponement within 48 hours of the scheduled start time will not affect the market, but cancellation or failure to start within that window will lead to a fair price resolution.
The event determines the winner of the men's professional Chinese Basketball Association game between the Guangzhou Loong Lions and the Tianjin Pioneers, scheduled for October 9, 2026, at 3:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information faster or weigh different factors more heavily than traditional sportsbooks. However, both aim to accurately forecast the outcome of the Chinese basketball game, and comparing them can offer a broader perspective on the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou Loong Lions versus Tianjin Pioneers basketball game. The winning team, as determined by the official game score, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and official results are published.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance shifts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, general news related to the Chinese basketball league, or even broader sporting events, might indirectly affect trading volume and price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals could provide insight into potential shifts in the predicted outcome.