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Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs?

Volume:
$86,004

Shanxi Loongs

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 9:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shanxi Loongs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,030
N/A
N/A
$22,746
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanxi Loongs (-6.5)

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 182.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guangzhou Loong Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,152
N/A
N/A
$29,157
Settled
No
polymarket

Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 26m
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a single China CBA basketball game between the Guangzhou Loong Lions and the Shanxi Loongs. The market resolves to whichever team wins the game, with a 50/50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule and a delay until completion if the game is postponed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the two platforms, potentially indicating a SKU risk with the Kalshi market.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as the likely correct market due to the current game schedule. Monitor for official announcements regarding the game date to confirm.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 30, 2024 at 7:35 AM ET. If Guangzhou wins, it resolves to Guangzhou; if Shanxi wins, it resolves to Shanxi. Postponements delay resolution; cancellations result in a 50/50 split. "In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:35AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT. If Guangzhou wins, it resolves to Yes; if Shanxi wins, it resolves to Yes. "If Guangzhou Loong Lions wins the Shanxi Loongs vs Guangzhou Loong Lions men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:35AM ET: If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between Shanxi Loongs and Guangzhou Loong Lions, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If Guangzhou Loong Lions win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Shanxi Loongs market resolves to No. Conversely, if Shanxi Loongs win, their market resolves to Yes, and the Guangzhou Loong Lions market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Guangzhou Loong Lions versus Shanxi Loongs game within the Chinese Basketball Association. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $86,004, with $85,830 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the probability lies for each team winning. The dashboard provides a unified view of the market, aggregating data from multiple sources to give a comprehensive understanding of the predictions being made regarding this particular contest. This is a great way to monitor the Chinese Basketball Association market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessments, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. While both aim to predict the same outcome, the mechanisms and information sources differ, resulting in potentially varied probabilities for the Guangzhou Loong Lions versus Shanxi Loongs game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to tighter spreads and more accurate pricing. Furthermore, the specific market design – including fees and liquidity provisions – can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Guangzhou Loong Lions at an implied probability, while Kalshi leans toward Shanxi Loongs. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the impact of platform-specific characteristics on price formation.