TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs Beijing Ducks
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Guangzhou Loong Lions vs Beijing Ducks?

Volume:
$23,241

Beijing Ducks

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 9:25 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Beijing Ducks

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,890
N/A
N/A
$13,071
Settled
Yes
predict

Beijing Ducks (-17.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 184.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guangzhou Loong Lions

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,214
N/A
N/A
$5,813
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group forecasts the winner of a China CBA basketball game between the Guangzhou Loong Lions and the Beijing Ducks, scheduled for October 25, 2026. The market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, with specific resolution details varying slightly between platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves to a binary 'Yes' if either team wins, while Predict resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Consider the informational value of each market. If you only care *that* a team won, Kalshi is sufficient. If you need to know *which* team won, use Predict.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the Beijing Ducks or Guangzhou Loong Lions win the game.
  • predict: Resolves to the name of the winning team ('Beijing Ducks' or 'Guangzhou Loong Lions').
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between Guangzhou Loong Lions and Beijing Ducks, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.

Predict

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:35AM ET: If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-money wagers, incentivizing participants to share their informed opinions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert predictions. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, such as player injuries or team news, than sportsbooks, potentially offering more up-to-date probabilities for this market.

Prices on Kalshi and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, differing levels of liquidity can create temporary price discrepancies; if one platform has significantly more volume, its prices may be more stable and representative of overall market sentiment. The algorithms used for price display and order matching may also contribute to these differences, resulting in varying probabilities for the same outcome in this market. These variations present opportunities for arbitrage traders.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Guangzhou Loong Lions or Beijing Ducks would likely cause price movement. Major coaching changes, shifts in team performance, or even significant media coverage could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about game location or scheduling changes could also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends within the Chinese Basketball Association, such as a team's recent winning or losing streak, could affect the probabilities offered on Kalshi and Predict for this market.