TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasidit Samrej and Yaroslav Demin in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Yaroslav Demin. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Kasidit Samrej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasidit Samrej and Yaroslav Demin in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Yaroslav Demin. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Kasidit Samrej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions for the Kasidit Samrej vs Demin match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasidit Samrej vs Yaroslav Demin match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in training regimes could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader trends in the sport could indirectly affect trader behavior and the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.