TOTAL VOLUME:
$156.1b
24H VOL:
$294,442,175
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,895,743
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,517,606,260
428,332
Markets across
39,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,170
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Fomin-Schoolkate match, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply crowd psychology. It’s often useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Fomin-Schoolkate match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing perceptions of the players’ chances.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Fomin-Schoolkate match as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Oct 26, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact trading activity. Public statements from analysts or commentators offering strong opinions on the Fomin-Schoolkate match could also create movement, as traders react to new information and perspectives.