TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Khumoun Sultanov and Luca Castelnuovo in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Khumoun Sultanov' if Khumoun Sultanov advances against Luca Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Khumoun Sultanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Khumoun Sultanov and Luca Castelnuovo in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Khumoun Sultanov' if Khumoun Sultanov advances against Luca Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Khumoun Sultanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, injury reports, or even subtle factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Observing these differences can be useful for identifying potentially undervalued or overvalued outcomes, and may indicate where the crowd disagrees with conventional wisdom regarding the Guangzhou 2 tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, and can be influenced by new information or shifts in opinion. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability of the event’s outcome in the Guangzhou 2 tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Guangzhou 2 tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches, and be prepared for the market to settle promptly following the conclusion of the match. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions affecting play, or even unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could all serve as catalysts. Significant media coverage or expert analysis questioning a player’s form could also impact trader sentiment. Any developments that alter perceptions of the players’ chances of winning the Guangzhou 2 tennis match are likely to be reflected in the market price, creating opportunities for informed traders to adjust their positions accordingly.